The Weekly Board

The board

Every narrative ranked by how loud it is, who holds it and what its ETFs returned.

The board ranks the 22 market stories StoryVector measures by how loud each one is this week, across five channels, with who holds each one and what its ETFs returned over 12 months. This week the loudest are hard asset flight, crypto conviction and onchain infrastructure; the quietest is the credit signal.

60.6loudest: hard asset flight
+24.4biggest 4-week move: physical AI layer
+46.1%best 12 months to Oct 22: geopolitical supply (US +15.8%)
93%most concentrated: QTUM holds the quantum frontier
665most ETFs: the income overlay
WEEK TO OCT 23All 22 narratives
#NarrativeLevel, 25 to 604 weeksLargest holderLast 12 months to Oct 22, rankedETFs
1Hard asset flightDollar weakness, distrust60.64 weeksLargest holderGLD 36.5%top five 74.9%Last 12 months+6.2%108
2Crypto convictionBitcoin, regulation, adoption60.44 weeksLargest holderIBIT 49.6%top five 80.0%Last 12 months−25.1%174
3Onchain infrastructureNetworks, tokens, rails59.04 weeksLargest holderBSOL 20.7%top five 63.6%Last 12 months−35.1%47
4Physical AI layerProduction lines, logistics58.84 weeksLargest holderBOTZ 38.4%top five 87.5%Last 12 months−1.8%52
5The productivity handoffEnterprise workflow margin58.74 weeksLargest holderCIBR 30.3%top five 75.5%Last 12 months+18.3%173
6The AI compute coreMemory and compute57.14 weeksLargest holderVGT 24.1%top five 69.2%Last 12 months+33.3%395
7The rate regimeFed communications, yields57.14 weeksLargest holderBND 7.7%top five 28.0%Last 12 months+0.2%414
8The defense tradeDeterrence and rearmament56.24 weeksLargest holderXLI 39.2%top five 82.5%Last 12 months+4.1%66
9Geopolitical supplyHormuz, OPEC, crude55.84 weeksLargest holderXLE 33.4%top five 63.8%Last 12 months+46.1%108
10The orbital economyLaunch, satellites, orbit55.74 weeksLargest holderNASA 31.6%top five 94.6%Last 12 months+3.9%46
11Pure narrative flowThe crowd as signal54.64 weeksLargest holderARKK 91.7%top five 98.2%Last 12 months−4.4%99
12The trade-war taxTariffs as cost53.44 weeksLargest holderXLY 57.7%top five 98.3%Last 12 months−0.7%34
13The power constraintGrid and nuclear53.44 weeksLargest holderXLU 33.0%top five 77.0%Last 12 months−3.0%81
14The quantum frontierBeyond silicon, pre-revenue51.04 weeksLargest holderQTUM 92.7%top five 99.9%Last 12 months+26.0%25
15Dollar displacementUS exceptionalism repricing49.44 weeksLargest holderVEA 9.7%top five 36.1%Last 12 months+15.6%653
16The fear layerVolatility and hedges48.94 weeksLargest holderDBMF 3.7%top five 13.1%Last 12 months+11.0%583
17The income overlayCovered calls, dividends48.74 weeksLargest holderVIG 10.1%top five 35.6%Last 12 months+14.0%665
18The refinancing cycleReal estate refinancing48.14 weeksLargest holderVNQ 39.1%top five 71.0%Last 12 months+4.4%64
19The biology tradeFDA decisions, CRISPR46.74 weeksLargest holderXLV 36.1%top five 73.4%Last 12 months+28.8%89
20The reshoring tradeCritical materials, fabrication43.24 weeksLargest holderPAVE 18.9%top five 59.3%Last 12 months+12.5%87
21The values tradeESG and anti-ESG42.64 weeksLargest holderESGU 12.4%top five 36.2%Last 12 months+14.0%161
22The credit signalSpreads and defaults36.84 weeksLargest holderXLF 6.0%top five 26.0%Last 12 months+1.9%451

Last 12 months: market price total return of the ETFs that carry the narrative, asset weighted, to October 22, 2026. The bar ranks the 22 narratives with a full year, lowest to highest; the white notch is this one and the thin tick is broad US ETFs (+15.8%). Attention and returns sit side by side, not as cause and effect. Measured and past, not a forecast.

ETFs we checked and found to hold no narrative sit in the Beta Book →

Attention against ownership

Further right is louder. Higher means more of the capital sits in the top five ETFs. Bigger bubbles have more ETFs.

Swipe the chart sideways to see all of it
253035404550556040%60%80%100%QUIET & CONCENTRATEDLOUD & CONCENTRATEDQUIET & SPREADLOUD & SPREADCredit signalAI compute coreValues tradeGeopolitical supplyReshoring tradePower constraintDefense tradePhysical AI layerDollar displacementBiology tradeRefinancing cycleQuantum frontierOrbital economyATTENTION LEVEL, WEEK TO OCT 23TOP FIVE ETFS’ SHARE OF THE CAPITAL
Bubble size is the number of ETFs carrying the narrative. Color is this week’s band. The lines split the board at its median level (54.0 this week) and at 70% concentration. Where a name does not fit beside its bubble, hover over or tap the bubble.
Loud and concentrated 7
Hard asset flight, Crypto conviction, Physical AI layer, The productivity handoff, The defense trade, The orbital economy, Pure narrative flow
Loud and spread 4
Onchain infrastructure, The AI compute core, The rate regime, Geopolitical supply
Quiet and concentrated 5
The trade-war tax, The power constraint, The quantum frontier, The refinancing cycle, The biology trade
Quiet and spread 6
Dollar displacement, The fear layer, The income overlay, The reshoring trade, The values trade, The credit signal

Compare narratives

Pick up to five and see their last four weeks side by side on the fixed scale.

Swipe the chart sideways to see all of it
Pick up to five from the lists; a sixth replaces the oldest. The last four weeks on the fixed 25 to 60 scale, with each week’s HOT and QUIET zones shaded. Bands are the top and bottom 15% of that week, so the zones move. A level under 25 is drawn on the floor and marked “below 25”. A record of levels, not a forecast.
Hot
Warm
Quiet

Do the channels agree?

Each dot is one of the five channels, the white mark is the level.

Level
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020406080100Hard asset flightlevel 60.6Hard asset flight: Investor boards 40.2Hard asset flight: Reference pages 52.4Hard asset flight: News 71.7Hard asset flight: Video 58.9Hard asset flight: Search 79.740Crypto convictionlevel 60.4Crypto conviction: Investor boards 54.3Crypto conviction: Reference pages 65.1Crypto conviction: News 56.0Crypto conviction: Video 73.2Crypto conviction: Search 53.220Onchain infrastructurelevel 59.0Onchain infrastructure: Investor boards 52.8Onchain infrastructure: Reference pages 57.5Onchain infrastructure: News 65.6Onchain infrastructure: Video 66.2Onchain infrastructure: Search 52.714Physical AI layerlevel 58.8Physical AI layer: Reference pages 48.9Physical AI layer: News 66.9Physical AI layer: Video 70.5Physical AI layer: Search 48.822The productivity handofflevel 58.7The productivity handoff: Investor boards 36.4The productivity handoff: Reference pages 79.5The productivity handoff: News 60.1The productivity handoff: Video 56.9The productivity handoff: Search 60.943The AI compute corelevel 57.1The AI compute core: Investor boards 55.6The AI compute core: Reference pages 54.3The AI compute core: News 62.4The AI compute core: Video 59.5The AI compute core: Search 53.89The rate regimelevel 57.1The rate regime: Investor boards 36.9The rate regime: Reference pages 53.8The rate regime: News 56.6The rate regime: Video 62.5The rate regime: Search 75.739The defense tradelevel 56.2The defense trade: Investor boards 37.8The defense trade: Reference pages 54.1The defense trade: News 65.4The defense trade: Video 61.8The defense trade: Search 62.028Geopolitical supplylevel 55.8Geopolitical supply: Investor boards 34.2Geopolitical supply: Reference pages 53.5Geopolitical supply: News 69.8Geopolitical supply: Video 64.2Geopolitical supply: Search 57.036The orbital economylevel 55.7The orbital economy: Investor boards 62.4The orbital economy: Reference pages 53.8The orbital economy: News 57.0The orbital economy: Video 65.7The orbital economy: Search 39.526Pure narrative flowlevel 54.6Pure narrative flow: Investor boards 66.2Pure narrative flow: Reference pages 47.2Pure narrative flow: News 51.4Pure narrative flow: Video 64.4Pure narrative flow: Search 43.722The trade-war taxlevel 53.4The trade-war tax: Reference pages 31.8The trade-war tax: News 60.3The trade-war tax: Video 70.3The trade-war tax: Search 51.138The power constraintlevel 53.4The power constraint: Reference pages 55.3The power constraint: News 40.1The power constraint: Video 67.9The power constraint: Search 50.128The quantum frontierlevel 51.0The quantum frontier: Investor boards 46.4The quantum frontier: Reference pages 46.8The quantum frontier: News 53.9The quantum frontier: Video 59.5The quantum frontier: Search 48.613Dollar displacementlevel 49.4Dollar displacement: Reference pages 48.9Dollar displacement: Video 66.1Dollar displacement: Search 33.033The fear layerlevel 48.9The fear layer: Investor boards 37.9The fear layer: Reference pages 40.7The fear layer: Video 62.9The fear layer: Search 54.025The income overlaylevel 48.7The income overlay: Reference pages 24.8The income overlay: News 65.7The income overlay: Video 62.9The income overlay: Search 41.541The refinancing cyclelevel 48.1The refinancing cycle: Investor boards 27.7The refinancing cycle: Reference pages 40.3The refinancing cycle: News 54.7The refinancing cycle: Video 63.7The refinancing cycle: Search 54.036The biology tradelevel 46.7The biology trade: Investor boards 32.3The biology trade: Reference pages 45.6The biology trade: News 57.6The biology trade: Video 55.2The biology trade: Search 42.625The reshoring tradelevel 43.2The reshoring trade: Investor boards 30.0The reshoring trade: Reference pages 37.6The reshoring trade: News 58.0The reshoring trade: Video 67.9The reshoring trade: Search 22.446The values tradelevel 42.6The values trade: Reference pages 26.3The values trade: News 50.5The values trade: Video 44.7The values trade: Search 49.024The credit signallevel 36.8The credit signal: Investor boards 15.1The credit signal: Reference pages 25.3The credit signal: News 33.6The credit signal: Video 62.5The credit signal: Search 47.647SPREAD
Channel scores run 0 to 100. Click a channel to pick it out; click again to see all five. The white mark is the level, the dot beside each name is its band, and the number on the right is the gap between the highest and lowest channel. A channel that did not report this week has no dot (8 of 110 this week).

Common questions

What are the loudest market stories this week?

Hard asset flight at 60.6 (HOT); crypto conviction at 60.4 (HOT); onchain infrastructure at 59.0 (HOT). Levels run on a fixed scale of 25 to 60.

Which market stories are quietest this week?

The credit signal at 36.8 (QUIET); the values trade at 42.6 (QUIET); the reshoring trade at 43.2 (QUIET).

Which market story do the most ETFs carry?

The income overlay: 665 US ETFs carry it.

Which stories' ETFs returned the most over the past year?

Geopolitical supply +46.1%; the AI compute core +33.3%; the biology trade +28.8%, against +15.8% for broad US ETFs. Asset weighted, to October 22, 2026. Past performance only.

How is attention measured?

Each story is scored 0 to 100 on five channels every week: search, video, news, investor boards and reference pages. The five are averaged into one level on a fixed 25 to 60 scale. HOT is the top 15% of the week and QUIET the bottom 15%. A level says how loud a story is, not where it is going.

Levels are attention, not direction: no narrative is labeled rising or falling, and nothing here forecasts flows. Ownership is capital Share of Narrative, exposure-weighted, from the week’s holdings.