TMV

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

Direxion · $242.6m in assets, October 8, 2026

TMV, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares, is a $243 million ETF whose main story is the rate regime. Over the past year it returned +48.7%, against +16.8% for broad US ETFs. Figures to October 2, 2026; past performance, not a recommendation.

TMV · the ETFFRI OCT 2Market price total return
−13.2% a yearTotal return since launch, April 2009
+48.7%Last 12 months
+37.8%Year to date
44.9%Volatility since launch

The narrative it carries

This is its only narrative.

The rate regime →

Bonds, cash and Treasuries: the interest rates every other asset is priced against.

The rate regime · the narrative this week
57.8HOT level, 3 of 22
last four weeks
424ETFs carry it
27.8%held by the top five
BNDlargest holder, 7.6%
$1,607 bncapital, 2nd of 22

The band is where this narrative’s level sits among the 22 this week. QUIET means less talked about, not falling.

Who owns the capital
BND 7.6%SGOV 7.5%AGG 6.3%BIL 3.3%TLT 3.1%419 other ETFs 72.2%27.8%top five
#ETFSHAREASSETS1 YEARCOST
1BND7.6%$161.78bn−2.1%0.03%
2SGOV7.5%$112.26bn+3.8%0.09%
3AGG6.3%$135.65bn−2.2%0.03%
4BIL3.3%$49.79bn+3.7%0.14%
5TLT3.1%$46.23bn−9.5%0.15%
419 other ETFs72.2%
TMV carries this narrative but holds no Share of Narrative, because inverse exposure is excluded.

Share is each ETF’s slice of the capital carrying this narrative. 1 year is market price total return; cost is the expense ratio. See all 424 ETFs on the narrative page →

FRI OCT 2MARKET PRICE TOTAL RETURN

1M3MYTD1Y3Y*5Y*
TMV+17.8%+33.0%+37.8%+48.7%+6.1%+30.2%
The rate regimeits narrative−1.6%−2.2%−1.2%−0.6%+4.3%+0.5%
The marketbroad US ETFs+0.8%+2.6%+14.6%+16.8%+22.9%+12.9%

1M, 3M, 1Y, 3Y, 5Y: one month to five years. YTD: year to date. * A year, annualised. A dash means the ETF has not traded for the whole period. Since it started trading on April 16, 2009: −13.2% a year.

$10,000 invested October 31, 2016

TMV $12,413The rate regime $11,809The market $42,209
$0$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Oct 2016Oct 2018Oct 2020Oct 2022Oct 2024$0$10,000$20,000$30,000$40,000$50,000Oct 2016Oct 2020Oct 2024

Year by year

TMVThe rate regimeThe market
-100%0%100%200%TMV 2019: -34.2%Narrative 2019: +7.2%The market 2019: +31.3%2019TMV 2020: -54.1%Narrative 2020: +6.8%The market 2020: +21.4%2020TMV 2021: +0.8%Narrative 2021: -1.0%The market 2021: +27.1%2021TMV 2022: +150.2%Narrative 2022: -9.4%The market 2022: -19.8%2022TMV 2023: -9.7%Narrative 2023: +5.4%The market 2023: +27.9%2023TMV 2024: +39.8%Narrative 2024: +2.6%The market 2024: +23.1%2024TMV 2025: -3.7%Narrative 2025: +6.2%The market 2025: +16.8%2025TMV YTD: +37.8%Narrative YTD: -1.2%The market YTD: +14.6%YTD-100%0%100%200%TMV 2019: -34.2%Narrative 2019: +7.2%The market 2019: +31.3%2019TMV 2020: -54.1%Narrative 2020: +6.8%The market 2020: +21.4%2020TMV 2021: +0.8%Narrative 2021: -1.0%The market 2021: +27.1%2021TMV 2022: +150.2%Narrative 2022: -9.4%The market 2022: -19.8%2022TMV 2023: -9.7%Narrative 2023: +5.4%The market 2023: +27.9%2023TMV 2024: +39.8%Narrative 2024: +2.6%The market 2024: +23.1%2024TMV 2025: -3.7%Narrative 2025: +6.2%The market 2025: +16.8%2025TMV YTD: +37.8%Narrative YTD: -1.2%The market YTD: +14.6%YTD

Total return in each calendar year; this year is year to date. A year appears only if TMV traded for all of it.

Total return on the market price, with each distribution reinvested on its ex-date. Not the NAV return the issuer publishes; the two differ when the ETF trades above or below the value of its holdings. The narrative is the asset-weighted return of the unlevered ETFs that carry it. The market is the asset-weighted return of broad US index ETFs. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Common questions

What story is TMV selling?

TMV’s main story is the rate regime, which covers bonds, cash and Treasuries: the interest rates every other asset is priced against.

Which ETFs compete with TMV?

The ETFs whose weekly returns move most like TMV’s over the past 3 years are PFIX (0.94), RINF (0.75) and CPII (0.61).

How has TMV performed against its story?

Over the past year TMV returned +48.7%, the ETFs carrying the rate regime −0.6% and broad US ETFs +16.8%, to October 2, 2026. Its weekly returns have a correlation of -0.95 with the story. Past performance only.

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Narrative figures are from the weekly board. Performance is market price total return as of October 2, 2026. Assets are StoryVector’s weekly figure. Classification and measurement. Not investment advice. How the measurement works →