Board/One of 22

The values trade

ESG, climate and faith-based ETFs, and the anti-ESG ETFs built against them.

The values trade is one of 22 market stories StoryVector measures. 127 US ETFs carry it, with $142 billion between them; the largest holder, ESGU, holds 13.2% of its capital. This week it ranks 17th of 22 for attention, in the WARM band. Over the past year its ETFs returned +14.9%, against +16.8% for broad US ETFs, to October 2, 2026; past performance, not a recommendation.

42.6WARM level, 17 of 22
last four weeks
127ETFs carry it
38.1%held by the top five
ESGUlargest holder, 13.2%
$142 bncapital, 7th of 22

Where it sits this week

Its level among all 22 on the fixed 25 to 60 scale. The band is where the level sits this week, not a direction.

25QUIET below 41.4HOT from 57.460
What its ETFs returnedFRI OCT 2market price total return

Its ETFs ranked among the narratives, lowest to highest. The white notch is this one; the thin tick is where broad US ETFs would sit. Measured and past, not a forecast.

+0.77%Friday · US +0.79%lowest −1.17%highest +3.50%10th of 22
−0.1%Last month · US +0.8%lowest −5.8%highest +15.1%10th of 22
+12.6%This year · US +14.6%lowest −3.8%highest +47.8%10th of 22
+14.9%Last 12 months · US +16.8%lowest −37.2%highest +50.2%8th of 21

How it is talked about

What the story is about, where its attention comes from, what sets it off, and what it shares ETFs with. This week it was measured on 4 of the six channels, and the channel chart is drawn only when all six report.

The argumentsigned off

Values-based (ESG) ETFs screen companies in or out for reasons other than price. Does the screen change what investors own, or mostly the label?

Screen

Excluding fossil fuels, weapons or poorly run companies, or voting shares for change, makes a portfolio clearly different from the index. The anti-ESG ETFs agree, from the other side.

Label

The largest ESG ETFs hold nearly the same companies as their index. The values are in the name more than the holdings.

What would separate them. How far holdings stray from the index. Portfolios that drop whole industries or vote against boards fit the first reading. Portfolios that track the index closely fit the second.

ESG index ETFs hold most of the capital here, and the anti-ESG side a small part. We measure the attention and the capital, not the merit of any value.

What sets it off
ESG ETF closures and rebrandings1 story
ESG and anti-ESG policy and regulation1 story
Wire stories filed to this narrative since August 24, by the kind of event. A count of stories, not of outcomes.

Who owns it

127 ETFs carry this narrative; 125 have it as their main one. Here is how its capital divides among them.

Its slice of all 22
1.7%
$142 bnof the $8.1 tn across all 227th by capital
How its capital divides
top five hold 38.1% · 122 other ETFs hold 61.9%
ETFShare1 yearCost
1ESGU13.2%+16.2%0.15%
2ESGV9.7%+15.9%0.09%
3ESGD6.1%+13.7%0.20%
4VSGX5.1%+20.0%–
5DSI4.0%+18.0%0.25%

What its ETFs returned

The asset-weighted return of the unlevered ETFs that carry this narrative, against broad US ETFs. Measured and past, not a forecast.

FRI OCT 2market price total return
1M3MYTD1Y3Y*5Y*
The values tradeits ETFs, unlevered−0.1%+2.1%+12.6%+14.9%+20.4%+10.4%
rank among the narratives10th of 229th of 2210th of 228th of 2111th of 219th of 21
The marketbroad US ETFs+0.8%+2.6%+14.6%+16.8%+22.9%+12.9%

1M, 3M, 1Y, 3Y, 5Y: one month to five years. YTD: year to date. * A year, annualized. Rank is among the narratives with a full record for the period. A dash means the narrative’s ETFs do not cover the whole period.

$10,000 invested October 31, 2016

The values trade $33,206The market $42,209
$0$10k$20k$30k$40k$50kOct 2016Oct 2018Oct 2020Oct 2022Oct 2024Oct 2026
$0$10k$20k$30k$40k$50kOct 2016Oct 2020Oct 2026

Year by year

The values tradeThe market
−20%0%20%40%2019 +27.6%2019 +31.3%20192020 +20.0%2020 +21.4%20202021 +19.6%2021 +27.1%20212022 -19.2%2022 -19.8%20222023 +22.3%2023 +27.9%20232024 +16.7%2024 +23.1%20242025 +18.7%2025 +16.8%2025YTD +12.6%YTD +14.6%YTD
−20%0%20%40%2019 +27.6%2019 +31.3%20192020 +20.0%2020 +21.4%20202021 +19.6%2021 +27.1%20212022 -19.2%2022 -19.8%20222023 +22.3%2023 +27.9%20232024 +16.7%2024 +23.1%20242025 +18.7%2025 +16.8%2025YTD +12.6%YTD +14.6%YTD

Total return on the market price, each distribution reinvested on its ex-date. The narrative is the asset-weighted return of the unlevered ETFs that carry it; the market is the asset-weighted return of broad US index ETFs. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

What is inside it

6 categories, each claimed by a written rule. The bar is each one’s share of the capital. The table names what decides each.

ESG indexes 69.7%Climate and clean energy 14.8%Everything else 12.5%Faith, social and engagement 2.0%Anti-ESG 0.8%1 more 0.2%
CategoryETFsCapitalShare of the ETFsShare of the capital
ESG indexesHow far the ESG rules take holdings away from the parent index46$98.7 bn37%69.7%
Climate and clean energyFor the fossil-free and low-carbon ETFs, energy's weight in the index they leave out; for clean energy, incentives and the cost of borrowing to build27$21.0 bn22%14.8%
Everything else41$17.7 bn33%12.5%
Faith, social and engagementThe exclusions each applies, and for VOTE, how it votes its shares7$2.8 bn6%2.0%
Anti-ESGThe broad US market, with each manager's stance on shareholder engagement2$1.2 bn2%0.8%
Carbon allowancesThe price of carbon allowances in the programs they hold2$0.3 bn2%0.2%

The widest gap: everything else, 33% of the ETFs and 12.5% of the capital.

How the market built it

What issuers have listed with this as the main narrative, by wrapper.

125Unlevered long100.0% of the capital
0Levered long0.0% of the capital
0Inverse0.0% of the capital

What issuers have listed, not what anyone expects. A wrapper can be listed before anyone wants it, so a count of ETFs and a share of capital answer different questions.

Common questions

Which ETFs give exposure to the values trade?

127 US ETFs carry it. The largest holders of its capital are ESGU (13.2%), ESGV (9.7%) and ESGD (6.1%).

Which ETF holds the most of the values trade?

ESGU, with 13.2% of the capital in ETFs carrying the story; the top five hold 38.1%.

How loud is the values trade right now?

Its attention level is 42.6 on a scale of 25 to 60, 17th of 22 this week, in the WARM band. The level averages six channels: search, video, news, forums, investor boards and reference pages.

How has the values trade performed?

Asset weighted, its ETFs returned +14.9% over the past year, against +16.8% for broad US ETFs, to October 2, 2026. Past performance only.

Run an ETF in the values trade? StoryVector shows issuers where their ETFs stand against the closest rivals, every week.

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See all 22 ranked on the board →
Every figure on this page is this week’s. Returns are market price total return as of October 2, 2026, measured and past, not forecasts. The level is attention on a fixed 25 to 60 scale across six channels; the band is where it sits among the 22. Ownership is Capital Share of Narrative, exposure weighted. Capital is the assets of the ETFs with this as their main narrative; ownership shares are measured on exposure-weighted capital, a different total. ETFs are listed by measured share; placement cannot be bought. Nothing here is investment advice. How the measurement works →